Trump to Levy Tariffs on Brazil, Argentina

Trump to Levy Tariffs on Brazil, Argentina

President accuses both countries of manipulating their currencies to devalue them, but few economists agree

President Trump said Monday he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Brazil and Argentina, surprising financial markets and opening a new front in the global trade war.
The Trump administration also proposed tariffs of up to 100% against $2.4 billion of French imports to punish France for a new digital-services tax that hits U.S. technology companies. France declined to comment Monday on the proposed action but it will have several weeks to negotiate with the U.S. to avoid it.

The move to revive trade tensions over metals caught many observers off guard, as the U.S. has been making conciliatory moves on other trade fronts. The Trump administration is pressing to strike a limited pact with China and congressional approval of a new North American trade pact, and last month passed on an opportunity to impose tariffs on foreign-made automobiles.

“Brazil and Argentina have been presiding over a massive devaluation of their currencies, which is not good for our farmers,” the president wrote in a Twitter post Monday. “Therefore, effective immediately, I will restore the Tariffs on all Steel & Aluminum that is shipped into the U.S. from those countries.”

The White House didn’t release an order on Monday outlining the changes or explain why they were necessary, leaving key details unclear.

Brazil’s President Bolsonaro said he would reach out to President Trump if necessary. PHOTO: UESLEI MARCELINO/REUTERS

The U.S. began imposing global tariffs of 25% on steel and 10% on aluminum in 2018. But before the metals tariffs went into effect, Argentina and Brazil quickly hammered out deals to obtain exemptions, agreeing instead to duty-free quotas. Other economies, including the European Union and China, were subjected to the U.S. duties.

Mr. Trump appeared on Monday to be alarmed by currencies that have weakened in Brazil and Argentina due to slow economic growth and political uncertainty. Argentina has faced a severe economic and currency crisis since last year.

The weaker currencies have made their crops cheaper than U.S. farm goods, creating another problem for U.S. farmers hard hit by the Trump administration’s trade action against China.

In response to that trade action, Beijing has ordered companies to scale back purchases of U.S. farm goods. Brazil’s soybean farmers have benefited, supplying 77% of China’s soybeans in the nine months ended in May, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, from about 40% before.

But few economists and analysts agreed with Mr. Trump’s claim that the two countries have been manipulating their currencies. Currency manipulation occurs when countries purchase U.S. dollars to weaken their own currencies, making goods on international markets artificially cheaper.

Neither Brazil nor Argentina has been featured in the U.S. Treasury Department’s currency report, the official vehicle for designating nations as manipulators.

“Brazil has had a free-floating currency for a long time now and that isn’t changing,” said economist Carlos Kawall, chief researcher at ASA Bank in São Paulo. “The real is weakening because interest rates are going down and the dollar is strengthening against emerging-market currencies.”

The trade war with China is putting a strain on the U.S. agriculture industry. WSJ's Jason Bellini sat down with a group of farmers from the corn, beef, soybean, and dairy industries to hear how tariffs are affecting their businesses.

In recent months, both Brazil and Argentina have instead taken steps to sell dollars from their reserves to support their plummeting currencies, the opposite of buying dollars as currency manipulators do.

“Of course Brazil doesn’t manipulate the currency,” said Monica de Bolle, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, nor does Argentina, she said. She said that Mr. Trump’s gambit could backfire if Brazilian and Argentine exports are hurt. “Then their currencies will inevitably weaken,” she said.

Brazil’s government is discussing the issue with U.S. officials, the country’s Foreign Ministry said. “The administration will work to defend Brazil’s trade interests and secure commerce flow with the U.S.,” the ministry said. Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro said he would discuss the U.S. measure with his economy minister and reach out to the American president if necessary. “I have an open channel of communication with Trump,” he said.

Argentine Foreign Minister Jorge Faurie spoke with U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross by telephone Monday to try to avoid the tariffs, said a ministry spokesman, who declined to provide more details. Argentina’s steel or aluminum producers associations had no comment.

How do you think tariffs on steel imports from Argentina and Brazil will affect the U.S. economy, if at all? Join the conversation below.

The move to ratchet up trade tensions caught markets off guard.

U.S. stocks fell for the second consecutive session Monday, with the S&P 500 slipping 0.9% for its largest one-day drop since early October. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1%. The declines came after figures from the Institute for Supply Management showed domestic factory activity slowed further in November, missing expectations and damping hopes for a rebound in the sector.

“This took people by surprise,” said Mohit Bajaj, director of exchange-traded fund trading solutions at WallachBeth Capital. “I wouldn’t be surprised if people are willing to take an earlier step to get out of positions just in case something might happen toward the end of the year.”

U.S. manufacturing and agriculture have slumped amid the continuing trade dispute with China, rather than being boosted as intended by the tariffs, and the stock market has typically declined on days when trade tensions increase.

Many companies and economists have blamed uncertainty in U.S. trade policy as causing a decline in investment. The industrial slump has also pushed down domestic aluminum and steel prices amid muted demand and steady supply, analysts said.

Shares of domestic metal producers have declined for months. They had a mixed reaction to Mr. Trump’s Monday tweet, with aluminum producer Alcoa Corp. paring an earlier advance to close down 0.1% and U.S. Steel Corp. rising 4.2%. The stocks are down 36% and 41%, respectively, in the past year.

The latest action “underlines the whole malaise we’re seeing on the trade front,” said Edward Meir, a consultant focused on metals at brokerage ED&F Man Capital Markets. “We’re looking at a very dicey situation in December… I don’t have a good feeling about it.”

The legal basis for the metals tariffs is a Commerce Department report saying global steel and aluminum imports threaten U.S. national security. Trump administration officials have offered other explanations as well, saying U.S. productive capacity in the metals must be raised, that the tariffs are needed to counter Chinese overcapacity in the metals, to combat currency manipulation or to gain leverage in trade negotiations.

Mr. Trump has previously raised and lowered metal tariffs on Turkey and other countries in moves attributed to everything from foreign-exchange policy abroad to the detention of an American evangelical pastor in Turkey.

The Brazil Steel Institute, which represents the country’s producers, said the decision to levy tariffs is “retaliation” that goes against the two countries’ partnership and will hurt U.S. steelmakers that need semifinished exports from Brazil to operate their own plants.

Brazil accounts for nearly two-thirds of the imported steel slab coming into the U.S. One of the biggest users of Brazilian slab in the U.S. is ArcelorMittal SA ., which operates a rolling mill in Calvert, Ala., under a joint venture with Japan’s Nippon Steel Corp. ArcelorMittal didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Many U.S. lawmakers have criticized the use of a national security law known as Section 232 to impose the tariffs. The move is facing a federal court challenge, as well as challenges at the World Trade Organization. The court challenges argue that the administration hasn’t followed legislative timelines and procedures in imposing the tariffs and has penalized countries and allies that aren’t always accused of shipping dumped or subsidized steel.

“There is not even a pretense of ‘national security’ with these tariffs” against Brazil and Argentina, said Chris Krueger, managing director of the Cowen Washington Research Group. “This action is ripe for retaliation and threatens to reshape currency relationships and the rules of the game for foreign exchange markets.”

A worker uses a forklift to move a roll of aluminum cable at the Alubar Metais E Cabos plant in Barcarena, Brazil. The facility produces aluminum rods and cables for electrical and steelwork purposes. es un sitio web oficial del Gobierno Argentino