Forbes - Estados Unidos

On August 11 a super-majority of Argentine voters signaled they did not want President Mauricio Macri to serve another four years, and close to a majority signaled that they preferred the presidential and vice-presidential ticket of Alberto Fernández and Cristina Fernández de Kirchner as Macri’s successor for the 2019-23 period.

If Mauricio Macri is reelected in October it would basically mean two things: The International Monetary Fund is no longer a death knell to the leader who signed the loan in the first place, and Cristina Kirchner and her quasi-communist, closed door, protesters-in-the-street politics are officially in Argentina’s past.

What seems to be holding Argentina back is a disbelief held by international investors and Argentinians alike that the future can be different from the past. Argentina’s history of staggering rises in consumer price inflation, sharp currency devaluations and forced debt restructurings, exacerbated by excessive government spending and widespread corruption, erodes domestic and international confidence.

Cristina Kirchner announced her...vice presidency on May 18. It's an odd twist to her story, but her pick of former chief of staff and political operator Alberto Fernandez as her president shows she knows how toxic she is about to become for left-of-center Peronists in Argentina.

Financial turbulence is a hard thing to explain, as it is generally kicked off by emotional reactions. Much ink has been spent on analyzing irrational behavior in markets, yet these runs, which generate negative feedback loops that are by definition chaotic and therefore destructive, are also the consequence of real situations of stress, as is the case currently in Argentina.

25/04 - 16:03 - Investors are dumping Argentina bonds now that it looks even more certain that the man who brought the International Monetary Fund back to Buenos Aires is six months away from losing the presidency.

The government of Theresa May has been surrounded and swamped by the Brexit debate over the past few months and has found little news to bring a distraction.

24/01/2019 15:04 - It looks like Venezuela now has two presidents: Nicolas Maduro controls the courts, the central bank and the military. Juan Guaido controls the legislative branch, and -- it now seems -- the hearts and minds of the majority of the electorate.

Elections will take place in Argentina between March and November to elect a president, one-third of the Senate, one-half of the Chamber of Deputies, 22 provincial governors and the members of 23 provincial legislatures. Argentina is a federal republic, in which the federal and provincial governments both play a prominent role in the development of the country’s hydrocarbon resources, such as the Vaca Muerta, one of the largest shale deposits in the world. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Argentina possesses the world’s second largest shale gas reserves.