The Economist - Reino Unido

16/05/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Política

Stuck in the middle: the Lavagna candidacy

Thereare two main front-runnersin Argentina'supcoming presidential election:the incumbent president, MauricioMacri, and his predecessor,Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (2007-15). Both suffer from high disapproval numbers and are viewed as polarising figures.•In this context, there is space for a viable third-way candidate in the October27th election to appeal to the voter bases of both MrMacri and MsFernández. A moderate member of the opposition Peronist party, such as the former economy minister, Roberto Lavagna (2002-05), could, in theory, take advantage of this voter disillusionment.
14/05/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Política

Big victory for moderate Peronism in key local race

Event In the latest provincial election in Argentina's busy 2019 election year, Juan Schiaretti of the Partido Justicialista (PJ, the Peronist party), has been re-elected as governor of Córdoba province, by a large margin.
10/05/2019
Política The Economist - Reino Unido

Populism and polarisation threaten Latin America

The underlying causes include low productivity, rigid regulation, a lack of incentives for small companies to expand or become more efficient, and corrupt political structures benefiting from the status quo. For a time an expanding labour force saw the region grow despite the problems. That demographic bonus is now mostly spent. In many countries the working-age population will start shrinking in the 2020s
10/05/2019
Política The Economist - Reino Unido Política Internacional

John Bolton and the Monroe Doctrine

Democracy is at risk in Latin America. The danger goes well beyond Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela
09/05/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Government raises import tariff rate

On May 6th the government mandated, via executive decree, an increase in the tariff on merchandise imports to 2.5%, up from 0.5% previously. The policy seeks to provide a temporary boost to public revenue, and will expire atyear-end.
09/05/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Política

Government seeks policy accord with opposition

On May 2nd the government released a proposal for a government-opposition accord on the broad economic policy framework. The government's proposal comes in the aftermath of substantial market volatility in April, which in large part reflected investor concerns over the policymaking outlook,amid rising political risk.
02/05/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Economic activity trudges along in February

According to INDEC, the national statistics institute, the EMAE, the monthly economic activity index, rose by 0.2% in seasonally adjusted month-on-month terms in January. Consequently, the EMAE contracted by 4.8% on a year-on-year basis, a modest improvement on the 5.8% contraction seen in July.
30/04/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Planned strikes are the latest challenge to Mauricio Macri

Argentine trade unions opposed to the government of Mauricio Macri will try to bring the country to a halt. On April 30th they plan to shut down flights, the metro in Buenos Aires, banks and schools. Even hospitals will run reduced “Sunday services”. On the following day, a holiday, unions will lead a rally at the presidential palace, joined by politicians from the Peronist opposition party.
29/04/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Trade account records large surplus in March

Data from the national statistics institute show that the trade account posted a surplus of US$1.2bn in March. Theresult represents a significant turnaround from a deficit of US$554m in the year-earlier period.
26/04/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

The price of desperation

If the peso holds, inflation should start to fall. And if that happens, Mr Macri could yet win re-election. According to Eduardo D’Alessio, a pollster, 71% of voters approve of the anti-inflation package, which also provides credit for the poor and elderly, as well as cancelling planned increases in electricity and transport prices. But if Mr Macri’s election chances look too bleak, Argentines might resume their flight into dollars, weakening the peso, worsening inflation and thereby guaranteeing his defeat.
26/04/2019
Economía The Economist - Reino Unido

Rising oil prices could prevent a world economic rebound

The senseof pessimism that hung over the world economy early this year has begun to lift in recent weeks. Trade flows are picking up in Asia, America’s retail sales have been strong, and even Europe’s beleaguered manufacturing industry has shown flickers of life. But it would not take much bad news to reinstate the gloom.
23/04/2019
Economía The Economist - Reino Unido Economía Internacional

EIU global forecast -Global economy continues to slow

The Economist Intelligence Unit has long been expecting a slowdown in global growth in 2019-20. This trend is now clear in the world's biggest economies.
16/04/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Government seeks to ease social tension

On April 8th the administration of the president, Mauricio Macri, announced new measures to address public concerns about thestill-weak economic situation.
15/04/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

Social and labour market indicators worsen in 2018

Even though we maintain our view that an economic recovery will materialise in sequential terms and that voters will feel the benefit of the same, risks to this outlook are substantial, with ramifications for the October elections.
29/03/2019
Argentina The Economist - Reino Unido Economía

How Argentina and Japan continue to confound macroeconomists

Exceptions and rules - Bold new policy frameworks have failed to break long-standing habits
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